Smoking in Namibia

The current smoking prevalence in the general population in Namibia is set to increase slightly by 2025. In 2000 the overall prevalence was estimated to be around 20%; this changed very little by 2015, with a projection to increase slightly to 21% by 2025. This increase in prevalence has been driven entirely by men's smoking, which increased from 28% to 32% between 2000 and 2015, and is projected to increase further to 36% by 2025 according to WHO trend data. By contrast, women's smoking during the same period decreased from 13% in 2000 to 9% in 2015, and is projected to reduce to around 7% by 2025. The WHO published prevalence trend estimates in tobacco smoking, as shown here, in their 2018 2nd edition report, which show slightly different smoking prevalence to the WHO country profiles. Data for the estimates are not age standardised, and were obtained from WHO databases. The trend lines are projections, not predictions, of future attainment. A projection indicates a likely endpoint if the country maintains its tobacco control efforts at the same level that it has implemented them to date. Therefore the impact of recent interventions could alter the expected endpoint shown in the projection. While the methods of estimation used in the first and second editions of the WHO report are the same, the volume of data available for the second edition is larger i.e. 200 more national surveys. The results presented are therefore more robust.