Before the Next Victory Lap

October 22, 2026 by substack.com

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Before the Next Victory Lap

Australia’s smoking statistics are raising new questions about the effectiveness of its tobacco control policies. The 2026 Wesfarmers Health Index estimates daily smoking at 10.1%, considerably higher than the government's reported figure of 5.6%, although differences in survey methods may explain part of the gap.

The discrepancy highlights the need for transparent data and closer examination of smoking trends, particularly among disadvantaged communities. Beyond measuring declining prevalence, Australia must ensure that adults who continue to smoke have access to effective cessation support and regulated, lower-risk nicotine alternatives.

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